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Overview

Increasingly, public sector professionals are having to think in a more statistical way to analyse data, interpret statistical reports, and make forecasts, often without the necessary training.

By attending this virtual Understanding Statistical Analysis course, delivered by statistician Alex Bottle, gain the skills to mitigate risk when making decisions and develop simple but effective forecasting strategies.

Attend this course to learn how to describe variation and randomness; understand how to develop sampling strategies and apply association and trends techniques.

This course gives professionals with no or only a limited understanding of statistics the confidence to make more effective decisions based on statistical information.

Unlocking the Power of Virtual

Our virtual courses have been designed with you in mind. From group exercises in breakout rooms to live chat, whiteboards and interactive polls, we use a range of tools and techniques to ensure that you can connect with your trainer; network and share best practice with your peers and leave the day with the skills you need.

Our courses provide you with an interactive and engaging learning environment that can be accessed from any location, helping you to continue to connect, learn and grow. Click here to discover more!

Please note we will use Zoom to deliver this course.

trainer photo
Alex Bottle
Statistician

Alex is an experienced statistician, speaker and tutor who uses a range of data sources and presentational methods to help hospitals and clinicians improve their performance.

After his first job as a statistician with a large pharmaceutical company, Alex moved to Imperial College London and gained a PhD in Epidemiology. He was seconded to the Shipman Public Inquiry to investigate how statistics could be used to detect GPs like Shipman with high death rates. Since 2002, his research has focused on measuring the quality and safety of healthcare using large databases and on helping clinicians ...

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Learning Outcomes

  • Understand how to analyse statistics to improve the performance of your organisation
  • Learn how to apply statistics to your organisation
  • Understand basic statistical terms
  • Learn how to effectively forecast to help make more effective business decisions
  • Examine trends that may impact your organisation
All the Understanding ModernGov courses are Continuing Professional Development (CPD) certified, with signed certificates available upon request for event.

Enquire About In-House Training

To speak to someone about a bespoke training programme, please contact us:
0800 542 9414
[email protected]

Agenda

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09:25 - 09:30

Registration

09:30 - 10:00

Trainer's Welcome and Clarification of Learning Objectives

10:00 - 10:45

First Steps: Some Basic Statistical Terms

  • What is statistical thinking and why does it matter?
  • Types and examples of quantitative data: continuous, categorical, count
  • Some common distributions in the real world, e.g. normal, bimodal, uniform, skewed
  • When averages are misleading
  • Key terms such as mean, mode, median, percentile, standard deviation, range, ratio, probability and risk, odds, accuracy vs precision
  • Why the jury acquitted OJ Simpson of murder and why this matters to your analysis
10:45 - 11:00

Break

11:00 - 12:00

Understanding Variation 1: Describing Variation and Randomness

  • Quantifying variation
  • What is randomness? Why and when is it a problem
  • Exercise: quick demo of randomness in action
  • The role of chance and how to assess it (hypothesis testing)
  • Exercise on assessing how much variation exists between units
12:00 - 13:00

Understanding Variation 2: Sampling Strategies and Bias

  • Options for surveying customers and staff: sampling strategies
  • Measurement error and precarious data
  • Exercise: how satisfied are my customers?
13:00 - 13:45

Lunch

13:45 - 14:00

Reflection Session

  • Trainer will review the day’s learning and the next stages of the course
  • Delegates will have time to ask questions and share views with one another
14:00 - 14:45

Associations and Trends

  • Correlation vs causation
  • The linear trend: concept of least squares and choosing line of best fit
  • Types of trends: linear, exponential rise or fall, step change, seasonal, other non-linear
  • Exercise: what’s the trend here?
14:45 - 15:00

Break

15:00 - 16:00

Forecasting and Getting it Wrong

The Trainer will facilitate a group discussion around the ways in which forecasts can go wrong, and the ways to reduce the risk of this happening

  • Extrapolating from a linear trend
  • How to choose between linear and non-linear trends in Excel
  • Common cognitive biases that affect data interpretation and decision making
16:00 - 16:15

Round Up and Key Takeaways